A new poll in the New York City mayoral election reveals a tightening race, with former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo trailing Democratic nominee Zohran Mamdani by a slim margin. The New York State Assemblyman holds 43.9 percent support compared to Cuomo’s 39.4 percent, while Republican candidate Curtis Sliwa garners 15.5 percent.

The survey, conducted by AtlasIntel—a polling firm lauded as the most accurate of the 2024 election by Nate Silver—signals shifting momentum. Cuomo emphasized the trend, declaring, “The more people vote, the stronger we are — let’s go, New York City. We are going to win!”

Earlier polls had shown Mamdani with a broader lead, but the narrowing gap has intensified focus on the final days of campaigning. Over 735,000 votes were cast during nine days of early in-person voting, surpassing the 2021 mayoral race’s early vote tally. Despite falling short of the nearly 1.1 million early ballots from last year’s presidential election, some polling locations saw long lines, including one in downtown Brooklyn where voters waited over an hour.

Cuomo launched a borough-wide get-out-the-vote effort, criticizing Mamdani by comparing a potential progressive administration to left-wing governments in Latin America. Meanwhile, Mamdani began the day crossing the Brooklyn Bridge with supporters, leveraging social media to energize his base. Sliwa honored a victim of a 2023 subway fire, while Elon Musk publicly endorsed Cuomo, warning voters that supporting Sliwa would effectively back Mamdani.

The poll, which surveyed 2,400 voters with a 2-point margin of error, also indicated Cuomo would prevail in a hypothetical two-way race 49.7 percent to 44.1 percent. However, the party breakdown revealed discrepancies, with early voting showing Democrats at 73 percent versus the poll’s 59 percent.