New York City faces potential upheaval as polls close for the mayoral election, with nearly 25% of residents considering leaving if Zohran Mamdani secures victory. A survey indicates that approximately 9% of New Yorkers would “definitely” abandon the city under his leadership, while another 25% would “consider” relocating. If implemented, this exodus could match the population of Washington, D.C., Las Vegas, or Seattle.

The AtlasIntel poll released over the weekend shows Mamdani at 40.6%, followed by former Democratic Governor Andrew Cuomo at 34% and Republican Curtis Sliwa at 24.1%. However, the latest RealClearPolitics average still places Mamdani ahead by 14.5 points, solidifying his position as a likely winner.

The J.L. Partners survey highlights stark concerns among residents, with older New Yorkers, Staten Islanders, and white voters most inclined to flee. Men were more likely than women to express certainty about leaving, while voters aged 50 to 64 showed the strongest desire to relocate. Pollster James Johnson noted that respondents described Mamdani’s vision for the city as a “disaster,” “hell,” and a “sh–hole.”

Despite potential shifts in polling, Mamdani has received support from prominent Democratic figures, including endorsements from Governor Kathy Hochul and private praise from former President Barack Obama. He recently held a rally with Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Sen. Bernie Sanders.

The election underscores deepening divisions over the city’s trajectory, with critics warning of economic and social consequences if Mamdani’s policies take hold. As the vote count approaches, the outcome could redefine New York’s future amid growing uncertainty.